Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Clay

OswegoUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 9 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 13 May 2026 at 21:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 52 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 11 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 13 at 4:40PM EDT until May 13 at 5:45PM EDT by NWS Binghamton NY

An estimated 278,752 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 84 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence84%
Coordinates43.2078, -76.2867
Nearest CityClay (10 km)
Population Exposed278.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-13T20:40:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.40c34ddab0092ba09efd44f7fa5179e9

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescCayuga, NY; Cortland, NY; Onondaga, NY; Cayuga, NY; Oswego, NY
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 13 at 4:40PM EDT until May 13 at 5:45PM EDT by NWS Binghamton NY
Expires2026-05-13T17:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Binghamton NY
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.40c34ddab0092ba09efd44f7fa5179e948135a06.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a7920093ee492578b80059cff2519a2ddd22e66c.002.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem City2 NNW Geneva
Iem CountyOntario
Iem StateNY
Iem WfoBUF
Iem RemarkTree down on wires on Carter Road in Geneva.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_D_42.890_-76.990_1778702160000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778702160000,"latitude":42.89,"longitude":-76.99}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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